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Ireland · Premier Division

22 May 2026 19:00 UTC

SHAMROCK ROVERS vs SLIGO ROVERS

Final 1:2

Sligo Rovers won Last goal: Sligo Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sean McHale (own goal) — Shamrock Rovers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jeannot Esua — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Carl McHugh — Sligo Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Sligo Rovers
90-minute result: Sligo Rovers
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview