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Ireland · Premier Division

22 May 2026 19:00 UTC

DROGHEDA UNITED vs DUNDALK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Drogheda United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gbemi Arubi — Dundalk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leo Burney — Drogheda United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Dundalk
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 15% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 4.5 8% (Weak)
12 predictions

Match overview