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Ireland · Premier Division

18 May 2026 18:45 UTC

WATERFORD FC vs DROGHEDA UNITED

Final 2:1

Waterford FC won Last goal: Waterford FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mark Doyle — Drogheda United
  2. ⚽ Tommy Lonergan — Waterford FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tommy Lonergan (penalty) — Waterford FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Waterford FC
90-minute result: Waterford FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 170 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 138 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
108 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 15% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 9% (Weak)
11 predictions

Match overview