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Ireland · Premier Division

22 May 2026 18:45 UTC

GALWAY UNITED FC vs BOHEMIAN FC

Final 2:4

Bohemian FC won Last goal: Bohemian FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dawson Devoy — Bohemian FC
  2. ⚽ Douglas James-Taylor — Bohemian FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edward McCarthy — Galway United FC
  2. ⚽ Ross Tierney — Bohemian FC
  3. ⚽ Edward McCarthy — Galway United FC
  4. ⚽ Patrick Hickey — Bohemian FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Bohemian FC
90-minute result: Bohemian FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview