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Ireland · Premier Division

16 May 2026 18:45 UTC

SLIGO ROVERS vs GALWAY UNITED FC

Final 1:4

Galway United FC won Last goal: Galway United FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Wasiri Williams — Galway United FC
  2. ⚽ Alex Nolan (penalty) — Sligo Rovers
  3. ⚽ Jimmy Keohane — Galway United FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kristopher Twardek — Galway United FC
  2. ⚽ Francely Lomboto — Galway United FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Galway United FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 169 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 137 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
40 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
104 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
126 predictions

Match overview