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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

18 May 2026 17:00 UTC

GHAZL AL MAHALLA vs AL ITTIHAD ALEXANDRIA

Final 1:0

Ghazl Al Mahalla won Last goal: Ghazl Al Mahalla

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Seif Emam (straight red) — Ghazl Al Mahalla
  2. ⚽ Armoosha — Ghazl Al Mahalla

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ghazl Al Mahalla
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 122 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 303 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
181 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
260 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
278 predictions

Match overview