← Back to matches

Bulgaria · Cup

20 May 2026 16:00 UTC

LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV vs CSKA SOFIA

Final 1:1

CSKA Sofia advanced Last goal: CSKA Sofia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Leandro Godoy — CSKA Sofia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Ryan — Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
CSKA Sofia
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: CSKA Sofia
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
20%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 32 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 32 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
27 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
16 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
27 predictions

Match overview