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Bulgaria · Cup

11 Feb 2026 16:00 UTC

LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD vs LEVSKI SOFIA

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Ludogorets Razgrad won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Caio — Ludogorets Razgrad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Ludogorets Razgrad
90-minute result: Ludogorets Razgrad
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
25%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 25 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 25 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 25% (Weak)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
21 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
12 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
2 predictions
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
10 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
17 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
20 predictions

Match overview