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Bulgaria · Cup

22 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

ARDA KARDZHALI vs LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV

Final 0:4 Almanac Moment

Lokomotiv Plovdiv won Last goal: Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Catalin Itu — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  2. ⚽ Sevi Idriz — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  3. ⚽ Georgi Chorbadzhiyski — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  4. ⚽ Dimitar Velkovski (own goal) — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  5. 🟥 Adrian Cova (2nd yellow) — Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
90-minute result: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
17%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 29 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 29 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 83% (Strong)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
25 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
14 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 76% (Strong)
17 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
9 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
24 predictions

Match overview