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Bulgaria · Cup

30 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV vs ARDA KARDZHALI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Arda Kardzhali

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Catalin Itu — Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lachezar Kotev — Arda Kardzhali

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
69%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
29%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 31 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 31 completed matches.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 86% (Strong)
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 29% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
4 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
15 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 2.5 78% (Strong)
18 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
10 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
26 predictions

Match overview