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Bulgaria · Cup

21 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD vs CSKA SOFIA

Final 1:2

CSKA Sofia won Last goal: CSKA Sofia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kwadwo Duah — Ludogorets Razgrad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ioannis Pittas — CSKA Sofia
  2. ⚽ Leandro Godoy — CSKA Sofia
  3. 🟥 Ángelo Martino (2nd yellow) — CSKA Sofia
  4. 🟥 Bruno Jordão (2nd yellow) — CSKA Sofia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Ludogorets Razgrad
90-minute result: CSKA Sofia
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 28 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 28 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 83% (Strong)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
24 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
3 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
19 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
23 predictions

Match overview