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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

MACCABI HAIFA vs HAPOEL PETAH TIKVA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Hapoel Petah Tikva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Guy Melamed (penalty) — Maccabi Haifa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yonatan Cohen (penalty) — Hapoel Petah Tikva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Maccabi Haifa
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 214 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
169 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
187 predictions

Match overview