← Back to matches

Sweden · Superettan

19 May 2026 17:00 UTC

HELSINGBORG vs VARBERGS BOIS FC

Final 1:3

Varbergs BoIS FC won Last goal: Varbergs BoIS FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Shanyder Borgelin — Varbergs BoIS FC
  2. ⚽ Alexander Johansson — Helsingborg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shanyder Borgelin — Varbergs BoIS FC
  2. ⚽ Albin Winbo — Varbergs BoIS FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Helsingborg
90-minute result: Varbergs BoIS FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 188 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 73% (Strong)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
152 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
161 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
158 predictions

Match overview