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Sweden · Superettan

17 May 2026 15:00 UTC

IFK VAERNAMO vs NORRBY

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Norrby

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Johan Rapp — IFK Vaernamo
  2. ⚽ Ishaq Abdulrazak (own goal) — Norrby
  3. ⚽ Logi Hrafn Robertsson — IFK Vaernamo
  4. ⚽ Jamie Bichis — Norrby

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Norrby
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 217 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 86% (Strong)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview