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Sweden · Superettan

23 May 2026 11:00 UTC

NORRBY vs LJUNGSKILE

Final 2:1

Norrby won Last goal: Norrby

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lukas Lindholm Corner — Ljungskile

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aldin Nedzibovic — Norrby
  2. ⚽ Jamie Bichis — Norrby

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Norrby
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
36 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview