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Sweden · Superettan

17 May 2026 13:00 UTC

NORDIC UNITED FC vs FALKENBERGS FF

Final 1:4

Falkenbergs FF won Last goal: Nordic United FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Albin Andersson (penalty) — Falkenbergs FF
  2. ⚽ Albin Andersson — Falkenbergs FF

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nils Bertilsson — Falkenbergs FF
  2. ⚽ Albin Andersson — Falkenbergs FF
  3. ⚽ Shergo Shhab — Nordic United FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Nordic United FC
90-minute result: Falkenbergs FF
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 217 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 30 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview