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Sweden · Superettan

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

IK BRAGE vs IFK NORRKOEPING

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
IK Brage
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 181 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 30 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview