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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Clausura

19 May 2026 02:15 UTC

REAL ESPANA vs CD MARATHON

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Real Espana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexy Vega — CD Marathon

2nd half

  1. ⚽ David Sayago — Real Espana

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
CD Marathon
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
154 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview