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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Clausura

19 May 2026 00:00 UTC

FC MOTAGUA vs GENESIS FC

Final 2:1

FC Motagua won Last goal: FC Motagua

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Giancarlos Sacaza — FC Motagua
  2. ⚽ Carlos Arzu — Genesis FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jhen Clever Portillo — FC Motagua

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FC Motagua
90-minute result: FC Motagua
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 230 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
154 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
184 predictions

Match overview