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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Clausura

15 May 2026 21:45 UTC

GENESIS FC vs OLANCHO FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Genesis FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Mosquera (own goal) — Olancho FC
  2. ⚽ Denilson Nunez — Genesis FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Genesis FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
153 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview