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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Clausura

13 May 2026 02:15 UTC

CD OLIMPIA vs REAL ESPANA

Final 3:2

CD Olimpia won Last goal: Real Espana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jerry Bengtson — CD Olimpia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Justin Arboleda — CD Olimpia
  2. ⚽ Daniel Aparicio (own goal) — CD Olimpia
  3. ⚽ Gonzalo Ritacco — Real Espana
  4. ⚽ Eddie Hernández (penalty) — Real Espana
  5. 🟥 Raul Garcia (straight red) — CD Olimpia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
CD Olimpia
90-minute result: CD Olimpia
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 226 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 200 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
151 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
180 predictions

Match overview