← Back to matches

Azerbaijan · Premier League

16 May 2026 13:00 UTC

QARABAG FK vs IMISLI FK

Final 3:0

Qarabag FK won Last goal: Qarabag FK

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Camilo Durán — Qarabag FK
  2. ⚽ Marko Jankovic — Qarabag FK
  3. ⚽ Mohammad Zubir Azmi — Qarabag FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Imisli FK
90-minute result: Qarabag FK
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 187 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 19% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview