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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Championship Group

15 May 2026 13:00 UTC

HAPOEL TEL AVIV vs HAPOEL BEER SHEVA

Final 0:2

Hapoel Beer Sheva won Last goal: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Andrian Kraev (straight red) — Hapoel Tel Aviv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ofir Davidzada — Hapoel Beer Sheva
  2. ⚽ Amir Ganah — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
90-minute result: Hapoel Beer Sheva
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 218 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
161 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
186 predictions

Match overview