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Israel · Ligat ha'Al · Ligat HaAl Relegation Group

13 May 2026 17:00 UTC

FC ASHDOD vs HAPOEL JERUSALEM FC

Final 0:1

Hapoel Jerusalem FC won Last goal: Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matan Hozez — Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 213 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 208 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
89 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
181 predictions

Match overview