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Finland · Veikkausliiga

10 May 2026 12:00 UTC

FC LAHTI vs IFK MARIEHAMN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: IFK Mariehamn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martim Ferreira — FC Lahti

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Dahlström (penalty) — IFK Mariehamn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 159 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 125 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
17 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
106 predictions

Match overview