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Finland · Veikkausliiga

05 May 2026 16:00 UTC

IF GNISTAN vs FC INTER TURKU

Final 2:0

IF Gnistan won Last goal: IF Gnistan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Adeleke Akinyemi — IF Gnistan

2nd half

  1. Joakim Latonen — IF Gnistan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 153 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 119 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
82 predictions
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
41 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
78 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
100 predictions

Match overview