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Finland · Veikkausliiga

08 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ILVES vs AC OULU

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Ilves won Last goal: Ilves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Teemu Hytoenen — Ilves

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Ilves
90-minute result: Ilves
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 154 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 120 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
34 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
79 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
101 predictions

Match overview