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Finland · Veikkausliiga

16 May 2026 11:00 UTC

HJK vs ILVES

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: HJK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maksim Stjopin — Ilves
  2. ⚽ Brooklyn Lyons-Foster — HJK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maksim Stjopin — Ilves
  2. ⚽ Mads Borchers — HJK
  3. 🟥 Mihailo Bogicevic (2nd yellow) — HJK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 126 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
39 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
87 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
108 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
48 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview