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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

04 May 2026 18:30 UTC

LASK vs RAPID WIEN

Final 3:1

LASK won Last goal: LASK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Janis Antiste — Rapid Wien

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sascha Horvath — LASK
  2. ⚽ Samuel Adeniran (penalty) — LASK
  3. ⚽ Moses Usor — LASK
  4. 🟥 Matthias Seidl (straight red) — Rapid Wien

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: LASK
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 177 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
44 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
147 predictions

Match overview