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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

03 May 2026 12:30 UTC

AUSTRIA WIEN vs HARTBERG

Final 1:0

Austria Wien won Last goal: Austria Wien

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kelvin Boateng — Austria Wien

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Hartberg
90-minute result: Austria Wien
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
120 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
145 predictions

Match overview