← Back to matches

Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Relegation Group

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

GRAZER AK vs ALTACH

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Grazer AK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Patrick Greil — Altach

2nd half

  1. Vesel Demaku — Altach
  2. Daniel Maderner — Grazer AK
  3. Murat Satin — Grazer AK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 179 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 176 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
149 predictions

Match overview