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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Relegation Group

02 May 2026 15:00 UTC

RIED vs BW LINZ

Final 2:0

Ried won Last goal: Ried

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ante Bajic — Ried

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kingstone Mutandwa (penalty) — Ried

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Ried
90-minute result: Ried
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 173 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 171 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview