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Poland · I Liga

03 May 2026 12:30 UTC

RUCH CHORZOW vs ODRA OPOLE

Final 2:0

Ruch Chorzow won Last goal: Ruch Chorzow

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Daniel Szczepan — Ruch Chorzow

2nd half

  1. Denis Ventura — Ruch Chorzow
  2. 🟥 Jakub Szymanski (straight red) — Ruch Chorzow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 272 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 268 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
217 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
209 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
245 predictions

Match overview