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Poland · I Liga

02 May 2026 17:30 UTC

MIEDZ LEGNICA vs STAL MIELEC

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Miedz Legnica won Last goal: Miedz Legnica

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Asier Córdoba — Miedz Legnica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Miedz Legnica
90-minute result: Miedz Legnica
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 265 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 16% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview