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Poland · I Liga

01 May 2026 16:00 UTC

PUSZCZA NIEPOLOMICE vs ZNICZ PRUSZKOW

Final 1:0

Puszcza Niepolomice won Last goal: Puszcza Niepolomice

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adrian Piekarski — Puszcza Niepolomice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Znicz Pruszkow
90-minute result: Puszcza Niepolomice
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 267 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 263 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
175 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
170 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
213 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
242 predictions

Match overview