← Back to matches

Poland · I Liga

02 May 2026 17:30 UTC

POGON GRODZISK MAZOWIECKI vs WIECZYSTA KRAKOW

Final 1:4 Almanac Moment

Wieczysta Krakow won Last goal: Wieczysta Krakow

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mateusz Szczepaniak — Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
  2. ⚽ Maciej Gajos — Wieczysta Krakow
  3. ⚽ Stefan Feiertag — Wieczysta Krakow
  4. ⚽ Lucas Piazón — Wieczysta Krakow
  5. ⚽ Maciej Gajos — Wieczysta Krakow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Wieczysta Krakow
90-minute result: Wieczysta Krakow
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 265 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview