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Poland · I Liga

02 May 2026 17:30 UTC

LKS LODZ vs POGON SIEDLCE

Final 4:0

LKS Lodz won Last goal: LKS Lodz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Damian Jakubik (own goal) — LKS Lodz
  2. ⚽ Fabian Piasecki — LKS Lodz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mateusz Wysokinski — LKS Lodz
  2. ⚽ Andreu Arasa — LKS Lodz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
LKS Lodz
90-minute result: LKS Lodz
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 265 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview