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England · National League · National League South Playoff

02 May 2026 15:00 UTC

HORNCHURCH vs WESTON SUPER MARE

Final 2:0

Hornchurch won Last goal: Hornchurch

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Josh Rees — Hornchurch
  2. ⚽ Henry Sandat — Hornchurch

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Hornchurch
90-minute result: Hornchurch
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
7:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+5; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,030 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1085 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
819 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
646 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
869 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
594 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
324 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
135 predictions

Match overview