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England · National League · National League North Playoff

29 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

MACCLESFIELD vs CHESTER

Final 2:1

Macclesfield won Last goal: Macclesfield

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Connor Woods — Chester

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Josh Kay — Macclesfield
  2. ⚽ Luke Duffy — Macclesfield

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Macclesfield
90-minute result: Macclesfield
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 175 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,028 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1083 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
817 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
645 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
867 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
593 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
323 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
134 predictions

Match overview