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England · National League · National League North Playoff

02 May 2026 15:00 UTC

SOUTH SHIELDS vs BUXTON

Final 1:0

South Shields won Last goal: South Shields

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Paul Blackett (penalty) — South Shields

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
South Shields
90-minute result: South Shields
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,030 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1085 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
819 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
439 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
869 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
594 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
761 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
950 predictions

Match overview