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England · National League · National League North Playoff

28 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

BUXTON vs SCARBOROUGH ATHLETIC

Final 4:2

Buxton won Last goal: Scarborough Athletic

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cian Coleman — Buxton
  2. ⚽ Luke Brennan — Buxton
  3. ⚽ Stephen Walker — Scarborough Athletic
  4. ⚽ Cian Coleman — Buxton
  5. ⚽ Ashton Mee — Buxton
  6. ⚽ Harry Green — Scarborough Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Buxton
90-minute result: Buxton
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 173 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,026 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1081 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
815 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
643 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
865 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
591 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
321 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
948 predictions

Match overview