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England · National League · National League South Playoff

29 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

DORKING WANDERERS vs MAIDENHEAD UNITED

Final 2:0

Dorking Wanderers won Last goal: Dorking Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alfie Rutherford — Dorking Wanderers
  2. ⚽ Harry Sidwell — Dorking Wanderers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Maidenhead United
90-minute result: Dorking Wanderers
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,028 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1083 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
817 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
438 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
867 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
490 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
760 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
949 predictions

Match overview