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Austria · Bundesliga · Bundesliga Championship Group

26 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

STURM GRAZ vs AUSTRIA WIEN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Sturm Graz

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tin Plavotic — Austria Wien
  2. ⚽ Paul-Friedrich Koller — Sturm Graz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Sturm Graz
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 170 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 168 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
117 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
141 predictions

Match overview