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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

02 May 2026 16:30 UTC

ASTERAS TRIPOLIS vs ATROMITOS

Final 4:2

Asteras Tripolis won Last goal: Atromitos

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kalvin Ketu — Asteras Tripolis
  2. ⚽ Julian Bartolo (penalty) — Asteras Tripolis
  3. ⚽ Nikolai Alho — Asteras Tripolis

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christos Almyras — Asteras Tripolis
  2. ⚽ Georgios Tzovaras — Atromitos
  3. ⚽ Steven Zuber — Atromitos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Asteras Tripolis
90-minute result: Asteras Tripolis
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
164 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview