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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

02 May 2026 14:30 UTC

PANSERRAIKOS FC vs AE LARISSA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Panserraikos FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lubomír Tupta — AE Larissa
  2. ⚽ Nikolaos Karelis (penalty) — Panserraikos FC
  3. 🟥 Yvann Maçon (2nd yellow) — AE Larissa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Panserraikos FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 202 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
164 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview