← Back to matches

Greece · Super League · Super League Conference League Group

03 May 2026 14:00 UTC

OFI CRETE vs ARIS THESSALONIKI FC

Final 0:2

Aris Thessaloniki FC won Last goal: Aris Thessaloniki FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dudu — Aris Thessaloniki FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giannis Gianniotas — Aris Thessaloniki FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
OFI Crete
90-minute result: Aris Thessaloniki FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 69% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
185 predictions

Match overview