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Greece · Super League · Super League Championship Group

03 May 2026 18:00 UTC

PANATHINAIKOS vs AEK ATHENS

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Javi Hernández (straight red) — Panathinaikos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
AEK Athens
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
185 predictions

Match overview