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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

26 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

AE LARISSA vs PANSERRAIKOS FC

Final 0:1

Panserraikos FC won Last goal: Panserraikos FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giannis Doiranlis — Panserraikos FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
45%
1X2
Panserraikos FC
90-minute result: Panserraikos FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 196 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 199 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
161 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview