NOTTINGHAM FOREST vs ASTON VILLA
Final 1:0
Top match
Nottingham Forest won
Last goal: Nottingham Forest
Match timeline
2nd half
- Chris Wood (penalty) — Nottingham Forest
Model Context
Match prediction context
Draw likelihood
17% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 184 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 184 completed matches.
1X2
49% (Average)
Both teams to score
50% (Average)
Total 1.5
74% (Strong)
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
Total 3.5
27% (Weak)
Total 4.5
12% (Weak)
Teams
Same outcome shares for past finished league games that involved either of these teams (90-minute score).
Based on 26 past matches
1X2
46% (Average)
Both teams to score
42% (Weak)
Total 1.5
73% (Strong)
Total 2.5
54% (Average)
Total 3.5
23% (Weak)
Total 4.5
8% (Weak)