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Europe · Europa League · Europa League Final Stage

16 Apr 2026 19:00 UTC

REAL BETIS vs BRAGA

Final 2:4

Braga won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Antony — Real Betis
  2. ⚽ Abde Ezzalzouli — Real Betis
  3. ⚽ Pau Víctor — Braga

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vítor Carvalho — Braga
  2. ⚽ Ricardo Horta — Braga
  3. ⚽ Jean-Baptiste Gorby — Braga

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
44%
1X2
Real Betis
90-minute result: Braga
Lucky hit
41%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 29% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
133 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
153 predictions

Match overview